Arcas: PSOE would keep its majority
Arcas (Cuenca, 1,994 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 83%PSOE majority
- 1,066valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%)
Majority 83%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 32.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 8.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 56.3% → 51.4% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 32.5% → 31.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.6% → 14.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,066 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.