Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montilla: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Montilla (Córdoba, 22,490 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 46.1%) Majority 23%
PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 2%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 3.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 46.1% → 43.6% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.2% → 35.7% 8 → 8 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 14.1% → 11.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.5% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,422 valid votes including 135 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montilla in size, in Córdoba

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