Lucena: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Lucena (Córdoba, 42,645 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 59%no list with a majority
- 20,173valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lucena
Lucena is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 42,645 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.2% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE-A was second with 6. 60.6% of the 33,280 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.2% → 43.5% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 28.2% → 24.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 8.3% → 14.3% 2 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 11.7% → 12.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- FLLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,173 valid votes including 208 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.