Lucena: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Lucena (Córdoba, 42,645 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 59%no list with a majority
- 20,173valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
10
councillors (2023: 10) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 44.2%)
Majority 41%
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 28.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.2% → 43.5% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 28.2% → 24.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 8.3% → 14.3% 2 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 11.7% → 12.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- FLLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,173 valid votes including 208 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.