Aguilar de la Frontera: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Aguilar de la Frontera (Córdoba, 13,318 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 77%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 6,950valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 50.7% of the vote (2023: 52.4%)
Majority 77%
UPOA+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 14.2%)
Majority 0%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 15.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 16.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 52.4% → 50.7% 10 → 9 councillors
- UPOALocal lists 14.2% → 16.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 15.6% → 16.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 16.3% → 14.9% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,950 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.