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Ruidera: PSOE would keep its majority

Ruidera (Ciudad Real, 555 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.0% of the vote (2023: 50.3%) Majority 68%
UCIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority under 1%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 19.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Ruidera

Ruidera is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 555 inhabitants, the 76th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 50.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; UCIN was second with 2. 79.1% of the 460 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 50.3% → 48.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. UCINLocal lists 29.1% → 31.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.2% → 19.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 364 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ruidera in size, in Ciudad Real

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