España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Puebla de Don Rodrigo: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Puebla de Don Rodrigo (Ciudad Real, 1,119 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 27%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 8%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 32.9% → 42.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 46.9% → 39.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.4% → 17.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 797 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Puebla de Don Rodrigo in size, in Ciudad Real

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