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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Ciudad Real

Carrión de Calatrava: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Carrión de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 3,131 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 37%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 35.6%) Majority 2%
UD. CA + CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 4.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carrión de Calatrava

Carrión de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Ciudad Real with 3,131 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 77.3% of the 2,572 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.2% → 45.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.6% → 34.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UD. CA + CSLocal lists 8.8% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.1% → 8.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,988 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carrión de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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