España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Bolaños de Calatrava: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Bolaños de Calatrava (Ciudad Real, 11,910 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 11%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 37.3%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.2% → 40.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.3% → 32.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 17.3% → 25.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. UNIDAS PODEMOS - IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,263 valid votes including 139 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bolaños de Calatrava in size, in Ciudad Real

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