España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Almuradiel: PP would keep its majority

Almuradiel (Ciudad Real, 740 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.9% of the vote (2023: 53.5%) Majority 77%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.7% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.5% → 50.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.3% → 26.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.8% → 22.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 512 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almuradiel in size, in Ciudad Real

Every municipality in Ciudad Real → · All of Spain →