Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Horcajo de los Montes: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Horcajo de los Montes (Ciudad Real, 821 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.4% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 14%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 8%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.3% → 40.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 43.0% → 38.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.2% → 20.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 539 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Horcajo de los Montes in size, in Ciudad Real

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