España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cortes de Arenoso: PP would keep its majority

Cortes de Arenoso (Castellón/Castelló, 293 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 49.3%) Majority 83%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 44.8%) Majority 17%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Cortes de Arenoso

Cortes de Arenoso is a municipality in the province of Castellón/Castelló with 293 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 135 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 49.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 81.9% of the 248 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.3% → 52.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 44.8% → 43.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 4.4% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 203 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cortes de Arenoso in size, in Castellón/Castelló

Every municipality in Castellón/Castelló → · All of Spain →