España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Ribamontán al Mar: no list would have a majority, P.R.C. largest

Ribamontán al Mar (Cantabria, 4,695 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.0% of the vote (2023: 41.4%) Majority 32%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 19%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 14.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 41.4% → 44.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 41.5% → 41.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.2% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,690 valid votes including 76 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ribamontán al Mar in size, in Cantabria

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