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Ramales de la Victoria: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Ramales de la Victoria (Cantabria, 2,958 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 46.2%) Majority 37%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 63% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.2% → 44.9% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.7% → 29.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. P.R.C.Local lists 21.4% → 23.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,854 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ramales de la Victoria in size, in Cantabria

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