España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castañeda: PP would keep its majority

Castañeda (Cantabria, 3,067 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 57.9% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority over 99%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 3.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.6% → 57.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 15.1% → 15.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 13.3% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.8% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. SOMOSLocal lists 4.0% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.8% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,930 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castañeda in size, in Cantabria

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