España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Bárcena de Cicero: P.R.C. would keep its majority

Bárcena de Cicero (Cantabria, 4,503 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P.R.C.±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 53.8% of the vote (2023: 52.7%) Majority 98%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P.R.C.Local lists 52.7% → 53.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 21.8% → 18.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.4% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.6% → 9.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,464 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bárcena de Cicero in size, in Cantabria

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