Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Cádiz

El Puerto de Santa María: PP would keep its majority

El Puerto de Santa María (Cádiz, 89,435 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 71%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%
UP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.5% → 46.0% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. VOXVox 10.4% → 17.2% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 18.6% → 15.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. UPLocal lists 9.7% → 10.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. EP100X100Local lists 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. UALocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 38,864 valid votes including 503 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Puerto de Santa María in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →