España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Algeciras: PP would keep its majority

Algeciras (Cádiz, 122,368 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
16 councillors (2023: 16) · 52.2% of the vote (2023: 53.1%) Majority 91%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−2
5 councillors (2023: 7) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Algeciras

Algeciras is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 122,368 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.1% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 47.6% of the 90,760 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 16 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.1% → 52.2% 16 → 16 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.3% → 20.8% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 18.9% 7 → 5 councillors
  4. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. ANDALUSILocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 43,167 valid votes including 640 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Algeciras in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →