Algeciras: PP would keep its majority
Algeciras (Cádiz, 122,368 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 43,167valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Algeciras
Algeciras is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 122,368 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 53.1% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 47.6% of the 90,760 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 16 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 53.1% → 52.2% 16 → 16 councillors
- VOXVox 13.3% → 20.8% 4 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 18.9% 7 → 5 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ANDALUSILocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 43,167 valid votes including 640 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Algeciras in size, in Cádiz
- Cádiz113,066 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- San Fernando94,120 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- El Puerto de Santa María89,435 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Chiclana de la Frontera87,493 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Jerez de la Frontera212,730 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Sanlúcar de Barrameda69,727 inhabitants · 25 councillors