Merindad de Valdivielso: JV would keep its majority
Merindad de Valdivielso (Burgos, 386 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 89%JV majority
- 313valid votes in 2023 (86% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
JV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 50.2%)
Majority 89%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.0% of the vote (2023: 35.1%)
Majority 1%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 13.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- JVLocal lists 50.2% → 53.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 35.1% → 35.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.7% → 11.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 313 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.