Merindad de Cuesta-Urria: PP would keep its majority
Merindad de Cuesta-Urria (Burgos, 268 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 185valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 55.2% of the vote (2023: 54.6%)
Majority 95%
VB+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 31.9%)
Majority 1%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.6% → 55.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- VBLocal lists 31.9% → 33.9% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.9% → 9.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 185 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.