Sarracín: VB would win a majority
Sarracín (Burgos, 264 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 56%VB majority
- 160valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VB+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 45.2% of the vote (2023: 42.5%)
Majority 56%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 32.5%)
Majority 1%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 19.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VBLocal lists 42.5% → 45.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 32.5% → 32.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.4% → 16.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 160 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.