España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castrillo del Val: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Castrillo del Val (Burgos, 829 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 41.0%) Majority 21%
AGRUPACION DE ELECTORES DE CASTRILLO DEL VAL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Castrillo del Val

Castrillo del Val is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 829 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41% of the vote and 3 seats; AGRUPACION DE ELECTORES DE CASTRILLO DEL VAL was second with 2. 67.4% of the 680 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.0% → 37.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. AGRUPACION DE ELECTORES DE CASTRILLO DEL VALLocal lists 26.6% → 25.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 18.1% → 25.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 458 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castrillo del Val in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →