España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castrillo de la Vega: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Castrillo de la Vega (Burgos, 627 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 32.5%) Majority 31%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 32.5% → 42.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.0% → 32.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 21.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 289 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castrillo de la Vega in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →