Estépar: PSOE would keep its majority
Estépar (Burgos, 630 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 98%PSOE majority
- 463valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 62.7% of the vote (2023: 63.9%)
Majority 98%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 34.6%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 63.9% → 62.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 34.6% → 35.8% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 463 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.