Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Trucios-Turtzioz: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Trucios-Turtzioz (Bizkaia, 516 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 61.9% of the vote (2023: 66.2%) Majority 96%
EH BILDU+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 66.2% → 61.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 30.5% → 37.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 364 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Trucios-Turtzioz in size, in Bizkaia

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