Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sukarrieta: SKB would keep its majority

Sukarrieta (Bizkaia, 361 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SKB±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.8% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 92%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 41.0% of the vote (2023: 46.1%) Majority 8%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SKBLocal lists 50.0% → 56.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 46.1% → 41.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 254 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sukarrieta in size, in Bizkaia

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