Gautegiz Arteaga: EH BILDU would win a majority
Gautegiz Arteaga (Bizkaia, 866 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 59%EH BILDU majority
- 567valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 41.4%)
Majority 59%
EAJ-PNV−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 53.1%)
Majority 41%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 41.4% → 49.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 53.1% → 47.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 567 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.