España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Vilanova de Sau: CP would keep its majority

Vilanova de Sau (Barcelona, 320 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.5% of the vote (2023: 47.2%) Majority 58%
IPVS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.8% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 40%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vilanova de Sau

Vilanova de Sau is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 320 inhabitants, the 263rd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CP came first with 47.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; IPVS was second with 3. 79.9% of the 268 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 58% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CPPSOE 47.2% → 47.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. IPVSSumar, Podemos and allies 46.3% → 43.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IPVS- -AMERC 5.1% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 214 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilanova de Sau in size, in Barcelona

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