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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Vic: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Vic (Barcelona, 47,545 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
CUP - AMUNT±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
ARA VIC - ARA PL+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
SOM IDENTITARIS (SOMI)±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 1.4%) Majority 0%
VECP - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 29.8% → 26.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 14.6% → 18.6% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. CUP - AMUNTCUP 12.8% → 13.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. ARA VIC - ARA PLLocal lists 11.1% → 11.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. SOM IDENTITARIS (SOMI)Local lists 8.8% → 9.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. PSC-CPPSOE 9.5% → 6.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. VOXVox 1.4% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  8. VECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  9. PPPP 3.9% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,533 valid votes including 372 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vic in size, in Barcelona

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