Subirats: no list would have a majority, ERC / ESQUERRA largest
Subirats (Barcelona, 3,241 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 78%no list with a majority
- 1,589valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC / ESQUERRA+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 31.3%)
Majority 20%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 37.2%)
Majority 3%
APS-CUP-AMUNT±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 18.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC / ESQUERRAERC 31.3% → 39.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 37.2% → 32.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- APS-CUP-AMUNTCUP 18.4% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 7.0% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 4.1% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,589 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Subirats in size, in Barcelona
- Balsareny3,249 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cànoves i Samalús3,289 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Julià de Vilatorta3,193 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Martí Sarroca3,313 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monistrol de Montserrat3,166 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Caldes d'Estrac3,148 inhabitants · 11 councillors