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Santa Maria de Martorelles: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Santa Maria de Martorelles (Barcelona, 889 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 3%
SMEC - C−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 1%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 30.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 27.6% → 35.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  2. SMEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 39.9% → 34.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. CMJunts 30.8% → 28.2% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 471 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Maria de Martorelles in size, in Barcelona

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