Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Vicenç de Montalt: no list would have a majority, SS-CP largest

Sant Vicenç de Montalt (Barcelona, 6,661 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SS-CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
JUNTSXSVM - ARA PL+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
SOM-HI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SS-CPPSOE 27.2% → 24.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. JUNTSXSVM - ARA PLLocal lists 20.9% → 22.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. SOM-HILocal lists 15.0% → 16.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 11.2% → 10.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 10.5% → 9.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. ERC - AMERC 4.6% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. VALENTSLocal lists 3.0% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. GSVLocal lists 2.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. IRCLocal lists 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,826 valid votes including 75 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Vicenç de Montalt in size, in Barcelona

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