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Sant Cugat Sesgarrigues: ERC / ESQUERRA would win a majority

Sant Cugat Sesgarrigues (Barcelona, 1,009 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC / ESQUERRA+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 61%
SC-PM-CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 43.2%) Majority 3%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 36% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Sant Cugat Sesgarrigues

Sant Cugat Sesgarrigues is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 1,009 inhabitants, the 220th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 SC-PM-CP came first with 43.2% of the vote and 4 seats; ERC / ESQUERRA was second with 4. 80.2% of the 751 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC / ESQUERRA on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 41.2% → 48.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. SC-PM-CPPSOE 43.2% → 36.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 13.5% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 602 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Cugat Sesgarrigues in size, in Barcelona

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