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Sant Andreu de la Barca: FEM SANT ANDREU - AM would win a majority

Sant Andreu de la Barca (Barcelona, 26,965 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

FEM SANT ANDREU - AM+2
12 councillors (2023: 10) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 74%
PSC-CP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
SSAB±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
ECPSAB-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.6% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Sant Andreu de la Barca

Sant Andreu de la Barca is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 26,965 inhabitants, the 37th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 FEM SANT ANDREU - AM came first with 40.2% of the vote and 10 seats; PSC-CP was second with 6. 55.8% of the 19,625 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps FEM SANT ANDREU - AM on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 74% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. FEM SANT ANDREU - AMERC 40.2% → 46.4% 10 → 12 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 27.8% → 21.9% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.4% → 14.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. SSABLocal lists 6.5% → 6.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.0% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. ECPSAB-CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CMJunts 1.7% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,951 valid votes including 136 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Andreu de la Barca in size, in Barcelona

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