Polinyà: PSC-CP would keep its majority
Polinyà (Barcelona, 8,451 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 98%PSC-CP majority
- 3,530valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSC-CP±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 53.8% of the vote (2023: 57.4%)
Majority 98%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
CM−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 13.4%)
Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 7.4%)
Majority 0%
PECP - C±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 9.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSC-CPPSOE 57.4% → 53.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 7.5% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 13.4% → 12.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 7.4% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.3% → 6.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 3.6% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,530 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Polinyà in size, in Barcelona
- Tona8,368 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santa Coloma de Cervelló8,309 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Montmeló8,793 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- L'Ametlla del Vallès9,020 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Sant Fruitós de Bages9,025 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Sant Esteve Sesrovires7,889 inhabitants · 13 councillors