Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tona: no list would have a majority, ARA PL largest

Tona (Barcelona, 8,368 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ARA PL±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 40.6%) Majority 35%
AT±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ARA PLLocal lists 40.6% → 41.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. ATLocal lists 24.9% → 25.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 12.8% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 11.4% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 4.5% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PSC-CPPSOE 3.8% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,507 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tona in size, in Barcelona

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