Navarcles: ARA- AM would win a majority
Navarcles (Barcelona, 6,067 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 74%ARA- AM majority
- 2,355valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ARA- AM+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 38.7%)
Majority 74%
CM±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 24.8%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 18.5%)
Majority 0%
NAVARCLES EN COMÚ PODEM - CONFLUÈNCIA (NECP-C)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 15.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARA- AMERC 38.7% → 48.5% 6 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 24.8% → 21.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 18.5% → 15.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- NAVARCLES EN COMÚ PODEM - CONFLUÈNCIA (NECP-C)Sumar, Podemos and allies 15.3% → 11.7% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,355 valid votes including 66 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.