Montesquiu: SM- AMUNT would keep its majority
Montesquiu (Barcelona, 1,059 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%SM- AMUNT majority
- 493valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
SM- AMUNT−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 52.5% of the vote (2023: 54.2%)
Majority 85%
ERC - AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 26.6%)
Majority 2%
CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 13.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- SM- AMUNTCUP 54.2% → 52.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 26.6% → 31.9% 2 → 3 councillors
- CPPSOE 13.6% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 493 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.