Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Monistrol de Montserrat: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM largest

Monistrol de Montserrat (Barcelona, 3,166 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority 13%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 1%
CUP-AMUNT+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%
CM−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 29.2% → 36.7% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.0% → 30.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 14.6% → 14.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 9.8% → 6.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CMJunts 7.7% → 6.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. ECPM-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,320 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Monistrol de Montserrat in size, in Barcelona

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