Marganell: CM would keep its majority
Marganell (Barcelona, 282 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 96%CM majority
- 173valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 56.3% of the vote (2023: 59.5%)
Majority 96%
VDM+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 21.4%)
Majority 0%
APM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 18.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 59.5% → 56.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- VDMLocal lists 21.4% → 23.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- APMLocal lists 18.5% → 20.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 173 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.