Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fogars de Montclús: CM would keep its majority

Fogars de Montclús (Barcelona, 493 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 81.5% of the vote (2023: 81.5%) Majority over 99%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fogars de Montclús

Fogars de Montclús is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 493 inhabitants, the 248th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 81.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority. 45.4% of the 370 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 81.5% → 81.5% 7 → 7 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 168 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fogars de Montclús in size, in Barcelona

Every municipality in Barcelona → · All of Spain →