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Figaró-Montmany: no list would have a majority, TXF largest

Figaró-Montmany (Barcelona, 1,108 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

TXF−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.6% of the vote (2023: 45.1%) Majority 32%
AM-ER - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Figaró-Montmany

Figaró-Montmany is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 1,108 inhabitants, the 215th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 TXF came first with 45.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; AM-ER - AM was second with 2. 58.6% of the 911 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: TXF would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. TXFLocal lists 45.1% → 42.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. AM-ER - AMERC 25.7% → 30.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 22.3% → 21.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 3.6% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 534 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Figaró-Montmany in size, in Barcelona

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