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Collsuspina: AC-AM would win a majority

Collsuspina (Barcelona, 398 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AC-AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 55%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 56.7%) Majority 45%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Collsuspina

Collsuspina is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 398 inhabitants, the 254th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 56.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; AC-AM was second with 3. 81.4% of the 295 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps AC-AM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 55% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AC-AMERC 40.4% → 48.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 56.7% → 48.3% 4 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 240 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Collsuspina in size, in Barcelona

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