Castellví de la Marca: CM would keep its majority
Castellví de la Marca (Barcelona, 1,614 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 92%CM majority
- 839valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Castellví de la Marca
Castellví de la Marca is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 1,614 inhabitants, the 198th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 58.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; SUMEM+ CASTELLVÍ DE LA MARCA - CANDIDATURA DE PROG was second with 3. 66.4% of the 1,264 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 58.2% → 56.5% 6 → 5 councillors
- SUMEM+ CASTELLVÍ DE LA MARCA - CANDIDATURA DE PROGPSOE 30.2% → 28.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- ERC / ESQUERRAERC 8.8% → 12.1% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 839 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.