Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabrera d'Anoia: no list would have a majority, UC-ERC-AM largest

Cabrera d'Anoia (Barcelona, 1,606 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UC-ERC-AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 21.9%) Majority 0%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 26.9%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%
CACTUA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 3.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UC-ERC-AMERC 21.9% → 26.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  2. CMJunts 26.9% → 23.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 25.4% → 21.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. CACTUALocal lists 16.0% → 15.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.8% → 8.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.7% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 811 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabrera d'Anoia in size, in Barcelona

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