Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Balsareny: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM largest

Balsareny (Barcelona, 3,249 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority 14%
ENDAVANT BALSARENY±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 1%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 33.5% → 39.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. ENDAVANT BALSARENYLocal lists 36.6% → 35.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CMJunts 22.7% → 19.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.0% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,469 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Balsareny in size, in Barcelona

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