España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Balenyà: no list would have a majority, JPB largest

Balenyà (Barcelona, 3,948 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

JPB±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 34.0%) Majority 3%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.7% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. JPBLocal lists 34.0% → 35.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 29.6% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CPPSOE 22.6% → 19.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 12.1% → 15.7% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,576 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Balenyà in size, in Barcelona

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