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Artés: ERC-AM would keep its majority

Artés (Barcelona, 5,902 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 58.7% of the vote (2023: 51.6%) Majority over 99%
GDA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Artés

Artés is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 5,902 inhabitants, the 126th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC-AM came first with 51.6% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; GDA was second with 2. 53.4% of the 4,360 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC-AM on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 51.6% → 58.7% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. GDALocal lists 17.4% → 16.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 11.7% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CMJunts 8.4% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 6.6% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,329 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Artés in size, in Barcelona

Every municipality in Barcelona → · All of Spain →