Guareña: PSOE would keep its majority
Guareña (Badajoz, 6,771 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%PSOE majority
- 3,818valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Guareña
Guareña is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 6,771 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 61.6% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 68.9% of the 5,542 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 61.6% → 62.1% 9 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 27.3% → 28.9% 3 → 4 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 9.3% → 7.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,818 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.