Castuera: PSOE would keep its majority
Castuera (Badajoz, 5,637 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 57%PSOE majority
- 3,379valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Castuera
Castuera is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 5,637 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 71.5% of the 4,728 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 57% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 49.2% → 48.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 41.5% → 44.1% 5 → 6 councillors
- UNIDAS POR CASTUERASumar, Podemos and allies 8.2% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,379 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.